A war is not
essentially own by the number of soldiers, rather more by the war strategy, as
Julias Caeser, Napoleon or even our home-grown Rana Pratap has shown. Caeser
defeated General Pompey representing the forces sent by the Rome senate at the
banks of Rubicon, with almost half the forces and that was the first time the
world witnessed a new tactics called the flank attack which Caeser did with his
cavalry. Napoleon was said to neutralize at least 10000 of force difference
with his mere presence, as told by the Duke of Wellington. He used to change
tactics by sending orders through the colour coded semaphores by the
combination of flags. The question of having the reserve forces for the later
intrusions from flanks was also a great strategy attributed to him. Rana
Pratap, with meager resources, used all kind of strategies of guerilla wars on
hilly terrains using height advantages will be remembered, a later day version
of the famous resistance given by the 300-strong Leonidas army of Spartans against
the Persian King Xerxes using the “Choke-point” strategy.
Goebbels,
quite relevant to this discussion, had shown that information or disinformation
propaganda has a tremendous effect on a war where public psyche is involved. Compare India@2016 where the media is still
controlled by the Congress and leftists in some way or the other so much, that
even small issues are successfully targeted against the Modi Government,
despite the paradigm shift in the level , transparency and result of the
governance, suppressing the major success stories. BJP is failing miserably in
the propaganda section.
There are
many famous and infamous strategies and operational tactics which were successfully used in the world, like
containment, enemy prioritization, attack strength, attack weakness, battle
readiness, circular attack, ruthless change, synergic/strategic alliance, bluff the dough, behind the enemy, patience & time,
cut supply-line, burn soil, bllitzkreig, oblique attack, envelopment, carpet bombing, bull horn, human wave, force concentration etc. - at least 20 deserve elaboration but this is
not the right place. Let’s come to our point.
Prashant
Kumar has successfully demonstrated that even an election war falls into the
category of any war, in a true sense. He essentially mixed Information Analytics & Strategic
management as the winning formula. He has a team of nearly 200 guys, who divide
all the assembly segments, upto the booth level among themselves and analyse
the trends and the characteristics, before analysing the possible scenarios by
simulation, based on certain possible strategic actions. For each
factor/parameter, the gain/loss / side effects were simulated and analysed. Then
the overall strategic plan, with the target segments are created. The game is
of IIM standard. He brought real professionalism in election management for the
first time in India. E.g. “Chai pe
Charcha” concept had a tremendous positive effect on the electorate before Loksabha
polls 2014. The image management area was brilliantly handled. There were several other tactics, like “Pappu” campaign is worth
mentioning for their tactical brilliance. This kind of micro-management provides a huge benefit in the closely contested seats which is one of the most crucial areas of electoral war. It was evident that Modi, rather BJP per se, had secured a part of the muslim votes even, like in UP, where it managed to secure 71 seats out of 90.
He used an
essentially different strategy in the Bihar election which was basically
fractious and more complicated in a narrower range. His synergistic alliance,
an idea laughed off by Nitish and Laloo both at the beginning, ultimately saved
the day for their political survival. Getting Congress for a peanuts in the
fold was another masterstroke.
What BJP is
doing is essentially banking on the charisma and strategic dogma and
perspective of a few leaders, not fascist, but authoritarian definitely. While
they have delivered in a certain way in some fields, the importance of the
right arms cannot be wished away. I am not necessarily advocating the use of PK or any other strategist agency, but for a potential force, even more than the use of it - it is even more strategic to deprive the enemy of it's use. The first thing BJP should be clear in its
own backyard is on the policies of Strategic cells and Media cells. But will
they listen ?
P.S. - Any strategist, including PK, is not a magician and strategy has no relations with Hogwarts. Strategy only helps to get the best out of any situation, no more, no less.
P.S. - Any strategist, including PK, is not a magician and strategy has no relations with Hogwarts. Strategy only helps to get the best out of any situation, no more, no less.